Solar Output Calculator: kWh per Year at Your Postcode
Enter your postcode, your system size and your roof. We show the kWh your panels would generate each year, with the working.
Your yearly solar output
Updates as you answerBased on 4.275 kWp with no postcode set, facing south, 35 degrees, no shade.
No postcode yet, so this is a stand-in figure and not your area's. Type your full postcode to use the figure for your postcode area.
The system pays back in about 12.8 years. That is longer than our Good fit range and inside our Borderline range.
Next step: get a free survey from MCS-registered installers. Leads 2 Trade arranges the survey, and installers give the quote. The request form is not open yet. We are paid by Leads 2 Trade Limited when a homeowner we refer asks for a survey. You are never charged. It does not change our figures.
The link holds your answers only. Your postcode and any quoted price are never put in it.
- System size
- 4.275 kWp
- Shade factor
- 1
- Share of your yearly use this covers (2,500 kWh, the Ofgem typical value)
- 166%
- Installed cost for 4.275 kWp
- £8,400
- VAT clock: cost from 1 April 2027, with 5% VAT
- £8,800
- Used at home
- 21%
- A typical home in our data uses
- 23%
- Yearly saving at 26.32p per kWh
- £231.62
- Export income at 13p per kWh
- £423.54
- Payback
- 12.8 years
- 25-year net
- £6,232.92
Yearly generation basis: a stand-in figure of 968 kWh per kWp for a south roof at 35 degrees, because no postcode area in our table is set. Type your full postcode and the figure for your area is used.
Installed cost basis: the mean cost per kWp of panels fitted (total installed capacity), from DESNZ Solar PV cost data, domestic retrofit installations, 1 April 2025 to 31 March 2026.
Used at home basis: a cautious figure. Three in four of the homes like yours in our data used at least this share of their solar electricity. The saving, the export income, the payback and the verdict are worked from it.
Rates basis: the unit rate is the Ofgem price cap for October to December 2026. The export rate is our calculation from Ofgem figures.
- For information: a system of this size may need an inverter above 3.68 kW per phase. That is the limit, on a single-phase supply, for the simpler grid notice (G98). Above it the network operator must approve the connection before fitting. The limit is about the inverter, not the panels, and we do not know your inverter. The installer sends the notice to the network operator.
The method and the sources are set out under the result.
Solar generation data: PVGIS © European Communities, 2001-2026.
How we worked this out
- Yearly output (kWh) = system size (kWp) x kWh per kWp x shade factor
- kWh per kWp = the figure for your postcode area x the share for your roof direction and pitch
- Average per day = yearly output / 365
- Payback = installed cost / (yearly saving + export income)
The kWh per kWp figures are our calculation from PVGIS 5.3 (European Commission Joint Research Centre), on weather data for 2005 to 2023, with 14% system losses included. The cost, saving, payback and verdict use the same sums as the main calculator. The full method is on our methodology page, and every dataset and its date is on our sources page. This is an estimate, not a quote or advice.
How Much Electricity Would Solar Panels Generate on Your Roof?
A 4.275 kWp solar system generates about 4,136 kWh a year on a south-facing roof at 35 degrees with no shade in postcode area B, at 967.6 kWh per kWp. The figure is the calculator's result for a postcode in area B (our calculation from PVGIS 5.3, 2005 to 2023); with no postcode, the card above uses a stand-in figure and says so. kWp (kilowatt peak) is the system's rated output under standard test conditions. Your postcode, roof direction, tilt and shade move that figure, and the calculator above works out yours.
This output calculator is one of a set, listed with more solar calculators. An output figure is an average for a place, and your own roof changes what the same system costs and saves; the cost and savings calculator on the home page works out both.
The estimate is in kWh a year, the unit your bill counts. The solar power calculator costs nothing to use and asks for no email or phone number before the result. A postcode is enough; no full address is needed. Four things you enter decide the figure.
What You Need to Run the Solar Output Calculator
You need four things: your postcode, your system size in kWp, your roof direction and pitch, and how much shade the roof gets. The table lists what the calculator asks, why each answer changes the output and where to find it.
| Input | Why it changes the output | If you are not sure | Where to find it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Postcode | Sets the kWh per kWp figure for your postcode area | A stand-in figure is used and labelled | Your address. No house number is needed |
| System size | Output rises in step with kWp | Choose "Not sure: size it for me", or multiply your panels by their wattage | Your quote, your MCS certificate or the panel datasheet |
| Roof direction | Changes the kWh per kWp: east gives 79.5% of south | Pick the nearest of the eight compass points | A compass app or an online map |
| Roof pitch | Changes the kWh per kWp | Keep the base pitch of 35 degrees | Your installer's survey or house plans |
| Shade | A shade factor lowers the whole yearly figure | Choose "Some" if trees or chimneys shade the roof for part of the day | Stand outside at midday and in late afternoon |
| Yearly electricity use (optional) | It does not change the output of a size you enter; with "Not sure: size it for me" it sets the size | Keep the default of 2,500 kWh | Your annual statement or your supplier's app |
Your yearly use does not change what a size you enter generates; it changes what the output is worth to you. With "Not sure: size it for me", it also sets the size. Check the output for your roof
System Size: kWp In, kWh Out
kWp measures what the panels can deliver at one moment under standard test conditions; kWh measures the electricity they generate over time. System size in kWp is the number of panels times the wattage of one panel, divided by 1,000.
kWp = number of panels x panel wattage / 1,000
Ten panels of 475 W each, our default wattage (our rule, which you can change in the calculator), make a system of 4.75 kWp. A search for a "kW calculator" or a "power calculator" is answered here in kWh a year, because kWh is what a bill counts. kWh is also the unit for a battery's size, and kWp belongs to the panels only. kWp goes in and kWh comes out: the step between them is the formula.
How Do You Calculate Solar Panel Output?
Yearly output (kWh) = system size (kWp) x kWh per kWp x shade factor. The kWh per kWp value is what each kWp makes in a year at your postcode, roof direction and pitch; the shade factor runs from 1 (no shade) down to 0. The calculation has three steps.
- Find your system size in kWp.
- Look up the kWh per kWp for your postcode area, roof direction and pitch.
- Multiply the two, then multiply by the shade factor.
A 4.275 kWp south-facing roof at 35 degrees with no shade in postcode area B gives 4.275 x 967.6 x 1 = 4,136 kWh a year. MCS generation estimates use the same sum: kWp x Kk x shade factor (MCS standard MIS 3002), where Kk is the MCS name for the kWh per kWp value. Our kWh per kWp values come from PVGIS 5.3, not from the MCS tables, so the two estimates share a formula and can differ in the yield they feed it. A formula that uses one regional number misses the effect of direction and pitch, which is why the calculator asks for both.
Specific Yield and the Monthly Profile
Specific yield is the kWh one kWp generates in a year at a given postcode, direction and pitch; on this page we call it kWh per kWp. Postcode area B has a specific yield of 967.6 kWh per kWp for a south-facing roof at 35 degrees.
The calculator holds one yearly value for each of 121 UK postcode areas, worked out with PVGIS 5.3, the solar tool of the European Commission Joint Research Centre. A second table holds the share of that value each of eight directions keeps at three pitches. System losses of 14% are inside the values. The calculator holds yearly values only, so it shows no month-by-month profile. Because kWh per kWp changes with place, direction and pitch, those inputs move your result.
How Location, Direction, Tilt and Shade Change Your Result
A roof facing east generates 79.5% of what the same roof generates facing south, and a roof facing west 78.9%, at a 35 degree pitch (our calculation from PVGIS 5.3). Location, pitch and shade move the figure too. The first table shows what each input does.
| Input | What changes | Effect | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Location | The kWh per kWp of your postcode area | See the second table | Our calculation from PVGIS 5.3 |
| Direction | The share of the south-facing figure | South-east 94.3%, south-west 93.9%, east 79.5%, west 78.9%, north 54.2% | Our calculation from PVGIS 5.3 at 6 places |
| Pitch | The share of the south-facing figure | South at 25 degrees 97.8%, at 45 degrees 100% | The same runs |
| Shade | A shade factor on the whole yearly figure | Some shade 89%, heavy shade 60% of the unshaded figure | Our assumption, from MCS MGD 005 worked examples |
Roof direction and its effect on output are the subject of our guide to the best orientation for solar panels. Tilt and roof pitch are covered in our guide to the best tilt for your roof pitch. The second table puts the same roof in four postcode areas.
| Postcode area | kWh per kWp | Yearly output |
|---|---|---|
| TR | 1,041.0 | 4,450 kWh |
| SW | 1,023.4 | 4,375 kWh |
| B | 967.6 | 4,136 kWh |
| EH | 905.6 | 3,871 kWh |
The calculator uses your own postcode area, not the nearest row of this table. The yearly total also hides a swing between summer and winter.
How Your Output Is Spread Across the Year
Your output is not spread evenly across the year: in winter, solar panels "generate less electricity than in summer". The reasons given are that "the days are shorter; it's more likely to be cloudy; the sunlight isn't as intense" (Energy Saving Trust, Solar power fact check). The same source says panels "still generate electricity on cloudy days".
The result card shows the yearly total and an average per day, which is the yearly figure divided by 365. A summer day generates more than that average and a winter day less, so the daily average is a poor guide to any one day. The calculator has no monthly figures. These are figures for an average year, and your real years vary.
How Close Will Your Real Output Be to the Estimate?
Expect your real output to land near the estimate in an average year and to move above or below it with the weather; the estimate is for a typical year, not a promise for any one year. A real year differs from the estimate for six reasons.
- A sunnier or duller year than the 2005 to 2023 average the estimate rests on
- Shade you did not enter, or new shade from growing trees
- Panel output falling with age, 0.5% a year in our 25-year figure
- Dirt on panels that are nearly flat: rain cleans panels "tilted at 15 degrees or more" (Energy Saving Trust, page updated 1 October 2026)
- Time the system is off for a fault or an inverter replacement
- The installer's design: panel layout and inverter size
If your installer gives you an MCS generation estimate, compare its kWh a year with ours for the same kWp, direction, pitch and shade, and ask about any big gap. The installer's survey sees your roof and we do not. Yearly kWh output per panel and per system, and ways to check real output after fitting, belong to our guide to solar panel output across the UK. Output is half of the decision; what it is worth decides the verdict.
What Your Result Means: Good Fit, Borderline or Poor Fit
Output alone does not decide the verdict: we compare what your panels would generate with what the system costs and what the electricity is worth to you, then call the result a Good fit, Borderline or a Poor fit. The table shows what follows each verdict.
| Verdict | What it means | What we show next |
|---|---|---|
| Good fit | The system pays back inside our Good fit range, on a roof with no Poor fit trigger | The survey option |
| Borderline | The system pays back, later than a Good fit | The survey option |
| Poor fit | The payback is too long, there is no yearly benefit, or the roof faces north or is heavily shaded | No survey. See what would change the answer, then run it again |
On a north-facing roof the verdict is a Poor fit: the panels generate 54.2% of what a south-facing roof generates at 35 degrees (our calculation from PVGIS 5.3). The system may not pay back within the panels' expected life. Solar panels "should last 25 years or more" (Energy Saving Trust, page updated 1 October 2026). The verdict and the figures are the same whether or not you ask for a survey. The overall verdict on solar for a UK home is on our page about whether solar panels are worth it in the UK. This verdict rests on what the output saves.
What Is Your Solar Output Worth in Savings and Export?
Each kWh of your output that you use at home saves the unit rate you would have paid, 26.32p per kWh under the Ofgem price cap for October to December 2026; each kWh you export earns your export rate, 13p per kWh by default (our calculation from Ofgem figures).
The share you use at home depends on when you are in, and the card shows the split. A battery stores daytime surplus for the evening and is sized in kWh, not kWp; its price, size and payback are in our calculator for solar battery cost and payback.
Export payments come through the Smart Export Guarantee, which started on 1 January 2020 and covers Great Britain. For solar, the scheme asks for MCS certification or an equivalent and a meter that records exports. It is not the Feed-in Tariff, which closed to new applicants on 1 April 2019.
Payback is the installed cost divided by the yearly saving plus the export income. The card's cost line uses the DESNZ mean cost per kWp for your size band (£2,109 up to 4 kWp and £1,651 from 4 to 10 kWp, April 2025 to March 2026). Our rule at the band edge: the larger band has a lower mean per kW, so a system above 4 kWp is never priced below a 4 kWp system, which is why the card shows the same price as a 4 kWp system. The cost on the card comes from the calculator, rounded to the nearest £100. Home solar carries 0% VAT until 31 March 2027 and 5% from 1 April 2027 (HMRC VAT Notice 708/6), and the card shows the cost at both rates. Savings and the payback period in years, from a quote or from our estimate, are the job of our solar panel savings and payback calculator. A survey turns this estimate into a design and a quote.
Get a Free Survey to Check Your Output and Price
A survey checks your output and price on the roof itself, and it follows a Good fit or Borderline result in two steps.
- You request a survey after a Good fit or Borderline result.
- An installer visits your home and gives you a quote, with their own generation estimate.
You will get phone calls. That is how surveys are arranged. We are paid by Leads 2 Trade Limited when a homeowner we refer asks for a survey. You are never charged. It does not change our figures.
We do not refer tenants, people who are only researching, postcodes outside the installers' coverage, Poor fit results or households eligible only for funded schemes. The request form is not open on this site yet.
Output per Panel and Panel Efficiency
One panel's yearly output is its wattage divided by 1,000, times your kWh per kWp. A 475 W panel (our default wattage) in postcode area B generates its wattage / 1,000 x 967.6 kWh a year on a south-facing roof. Panel efficiency is a different measure: the panel's rated power divided by its area times 1,000 W per square metre. A more efficient panel packs more watts into each square metre, so the same kWp needs fewer panels or less roof. The calculator has no efficiency input: the output follows the system size in kWp you enter.
Solar Output Calculator Questions
Will my installer's generation estimate match this one?
It uses the same formula, and the yield fed into it can differ. Installers give an MCS generation estimate from kWp, a kWh per kWp value and a shade factor. Our figure uses the same sum with PVGIS 5.3 data. Compare the kWh a year and ask about any big gap.
Does the calculator work in Scotland and Northern Ireland?
Yes, for both. The calculator holds a generation figure for 121 UK postcode areas, BT (Northern Ireland) included. Northern Ireland savings use the standard Power NI rates, not the Great Britain price cap, and the cost line uses cost data for Great Britain.
Can I use it for a flat roof or panels in the garden?
Only for a frame tilted at 25, 35 or 45 degrees. The calculator has three pitches and no flat-roof setting. Pick the pitch nearest your frame's angle and the direction the frame faces.
Does the estimate allow for panels losing output with age?
The yearly figure is for the first year. Panels lose a little output each year. Our 25-year figure lowers output by 0.5% a year, as our methodology page sets out.
Is the output figure a guarantee?
No. It is an estimate for an average year. Real output moves with the weather and with shade we cannot see. Installers give the quote and their own estimate after a survey.
Will I get phone calls if I ask for a survey?
Yes. You will get phone calls. Leads 2 Trade arranges the survey, and installers give the quote.
Why do you ask for a postcode and not my full address?
Your full postcode is enough. Its first letters set your postcode area and its generation figure. We do not need your house number, and the postcode stays in your browser.